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Red102
54848.9
57360.1
354834.4
Blue142
360446.3
332261.9
261951.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1451620100200300400102142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#24
60.12.3
62.560.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
3322
#63
61.90.9
65.364.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
548
#21
48.92.3
48.446.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
2619
#26
51.80.9
48.347.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3548
#60
34.42.3
36.634.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.9
3604
#37
46.30.9
45.744.8
Auto
Teleop
End