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Red210
118938.2
49472.2
332261.9
Blue220
364154.8
171888.7
309866.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1642250100200300400210220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#20
72.21.9
71.873.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.5
88.70.2
94.795.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3322
#63
61.91.9
64.466.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
66.80.2
66.366.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1189
#61
38.21.9
36.738.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.5
3641
#18
54.80.2
54.154.4
Auto
Teleop
End