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Qual 1152014 Michigan FRC State Championship
Red113
125047.5
28039.5
85747.8
Blue191
285140.7
54848.9
50362.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125145050100200250300350113191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#39
47.80.8
50.7→50.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 14.6
503
#32
62.42.5
55.7→58.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1250
#42
47.50.8
41.7→40.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.4
548
#21
48.92.5
46.1→48.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
280
#43
39.50.8
36.1→35.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.1
2851
#53
40.72.5
40.1→42.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—