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Red128
364154.8
360446.3
505320.5
Blue112
285140.7
361849.4
360253.5
34%Model gave it66%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114155050200250300350400128112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#18
54.80.4
54.454.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
3602
#46
53.51.9
55.353.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3604
#37
46.30.4
45.946.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
3618
#29
49.41.9
51.249.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5053
#58
20.50.4
20.120.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.1
2851
#53
40.71.9
42.540.7
Auto
Teleop
End