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Red125
171146.4
26048.4
191879.4
Blue106
54848.9
439146.5
91065.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113202050150250300350400125106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.40.1
82.081.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.6
910
#12
65.84.1
77.573.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1711
#49
46.40.1
37.837.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
548
#21
48.94.1
56.352.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2604
#56
8.40.1
7.57.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 38.1
4391
#47
46.54.1
54.650.5
Auto
Teleop
End