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Qual 422014 Michigan FRC State Championship
Red161
362057.5
400356.1
436272.4
Blue142
285140.7
171146.4
309866.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175137050100200250300350161142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#22
72.40.4
61.0→60.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.6
3098
#5
66.80.0
68.9→68.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3620
#34
57.50.4
48.7→48.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.0
1711
#49
46.40.0
37.8→37.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4003
#28
56.10.4
59.6→59.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 15.4
2851
#53
40.70.0
35.9→35.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—