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Red107
31476.2
247438.3
295976.6
Blue182
364154.8
49472.2
5176.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157202050100250300350400107182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#19
76.62.8
75.172.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
51
#9
76.40.7
76.375.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
314
#16
76.22.8
59.756.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
494
#20
72.20.7
70.670.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2474
#48
38.32.8
29.126.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.5
3641
#18
54.80.7
48.347.6
Auto
Teleop
End