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Red117
400356.1
26048.4
361849.4
Blue116
86261.9
317529.6
283448.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113151050200250300350117116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#28
56.10.1
59.259.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
862
#25
61.91.4
61.259.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3618
#29
49.40.1
48.948.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2834
#23
48.81.4
45.944.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2604
#56
8.40.1
10.410.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.2
3175
#64
29.61.4
37.936.4
Auto
Teleop
End