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Red136
31476.2
519332.1
477940.8
Blue172
309866.8
205465.6
400356.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1152140300400136172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#16
76.20.3
56.957.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
66.81.3
71.670.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4779
#62
40.80.3
33.033.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.8
2054
#36
65.61.3
67.966.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5193
#52
32.10.3
40.841.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.0
4003
#28
56.11.3
59.157.8
Auto
Teleop
End