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Red201
361849.4
28039.5
295976.6
Blue150
205465.6
477940.8
81536.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164138050100200250300350201150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#19
76.62.1
78.180.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
2054
#36
65.60.4
70.170.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3618
#29
49.42.1
53.255.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
4779
#62
40.80.4
30.430.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
280
#43
39.52.1
28.430.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
815
#54
36.20.4
41.241.6
Auto
Teleop
End