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Red171
505320.5
3369.7
91065.8
Blue166
54848.9
436272.4
295976.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1551930100300400171166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#13
69.70.5
72.573.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
2959
#19
76.61.0
70.969.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
910
#12
65.80.5
69.469.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
4362
#22
72.41.0
67.666.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5053
#58
20.50.5
18.819.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.4
548
#21
48.91.0
48.347.3
Auto
Teleop
End