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Red90
353986.9
150632.0
366729.1
Blue101
57360.1
277147.6
91065.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128193010030040050090101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#15
86.92.4
87.284.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.1
910
#12
65.84.1
69.965.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1506
#38
32.02.4
25.222.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.1
573
#24
60.14.1
60.456.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3667
#41
29.12.4
25.723.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.5
2771
#59
47.64.1
52.348.2
Auto
Teleop
End