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Red111
516256.5
125047.5
86261.9
Blue151
233784.1
171146.4
261951.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171162050100200250300350111151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#25
61.92.9
65.662.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.2
84.10.6
77.276.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5162
#33
56.52.9
60.457.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
2619
#26
51.80.6
46.646.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1250
#42
47.52.9
43.640.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1711
#49
46.40.6
39.538.9
Auto
Teleop
End