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Red150
46995.9
45344.8
49472.2
Blue161
400356.1
360446.3
7454.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2151560100300400150161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#6
95.92.8
93.290.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 39.9
4003
#28
56.10.2
62.362.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
494
#20
72.22.8
72.970.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.4
74
#27
54.90.2
56.956.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
453
#45
44.82.8
39.636.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
3604
#37
46.30.2
45.945.7
Auto
Teleop
End