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Red146
171146.4
317529.6
125047.5
Blue155
295976.6
354834.4
481947.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031570200300400146155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1250
#42
47.51.7
40.642.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 29.2
2959
#19
76.60.3
67.768.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1711
#49
46.41.7
38.940.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
4819
#14
47.50.3
46.646.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3175
#64
29.61.7
31.533.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
3548
#60
34.40.3
34.735.0
Auto
Teleop
End