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Red186
213775.0
205465.6
86261.9
Blue175
7065.1
436272.4
30848.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2191760100300400186175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
#11
75.01.3
84.583.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
4362
#22
72.40.4
67.266.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2054
#36
65.61.3
64.463.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
70
#40
65.10.4
68.568.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
862
#25
61.91.3
63.462.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
308
#44
48.70.4
46.646.2
Auto
Teleop
End