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Red230
261951.8
505320.5
31476.2
Blue220
353986.9
368873.0
296059.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1082370200300400500230220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#16
76.25.1
67.872.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.7
3539
#15
86.90.2
89.689.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2619
#26
51.85.1
43.248.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.2
3688
#31
73.00.2
69.870.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5053
#58
20.55.1
17.222.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 38.8
2960
#50
59.40.2
57.657.7
Auto
Teleop
End