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Red137
233784.1
283448.8
46995.9
Blue211
3369.7
2790.0
31476.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2322430100200300400500137211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#6
95.91.6
97.695.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
27
#3
90.00.5
91.891.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
84.11.6
85.784.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
314
#16
76.20.5
77.977.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2834
#23
48.81.6
50.448.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.9
33
#13
69.70.5
71.470.9
Auto
Teleop
End