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Red140
258623.3
10778.1
102368.4
Blue160
159629.5
523016.6
364145.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18570050100150250300350140160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#1
78.10.5
77.376.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.5
3641
#14
45.61.2
44.445.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
68.40.5
67.667.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 38.9
1596
#15
29.51.2
28.229.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2586
#30
23.30.5
22.422.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
5230
#11
16.61.2
15.316.5
Auto
Teleop
End