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Red108
483514.5
364145.6
531420.2
Blue131
6637.1
511018.9
361843.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6579050100150200108131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#14
45.63.4
42.145.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
43.04.5
27.331.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5314
#28
20.23.4
14.117.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.0
66
#9
37.14.5
39.844.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4835
#25
14.53.4
11.114.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
5110
#32
18.94.5
9.614.1
Auto
Teleop
End