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Red5
49950.6
224614.6
439144.4
Blue26
523016.6
439210.6
507211.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57390100150200526

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.44.1
31.327.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.8
5230
#11
16.61.3
15.314.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2246
#36
14.64.1
12.07.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
5072
#35
11.11.3
14.713.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4995
#33
0.64.1
11.27.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
4392
#31
10.61.3
11.910.6
Auto
Teleop
End