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Red85
295963.2
439144.4
518319.5
Blue167
171129.6
6637.1
86259.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7413305010015020025030085167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.20.2
48.748.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
862
#2
59.82.2
48.850.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
44.40.2
27.227.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
66
#9
37.13.6
44.348.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5183
#20
19.50.2
7.07.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
1711
#16
29.63.6
30.534.1
Auto
Teleop
End