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Red28
507211.1
171129.6
51753.2
Blue86
518319.5
86259.8
159629.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4110601502002503003502886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1711
#16
29.61.9
38.436.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 30.3
862
#2
59.80.5
58.558.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5072
#35
11.11.9
11.29.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.4
1596
#15
29.50.8
22.121.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5175
#29
3.21.9
1.2-0.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.4
5183
#20
19.50.8
15.314.4
Auto
Teleop
End