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Red23
361715.0
437628.6
483514.5
Blue98
49950.6
360234.0
471524.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions843801001502002503002398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4376
#21
28.64.5
30.826.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
3602
#17
34.04.4
26.030.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3617
#34
15.04.5
28.023.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
4715
#18
24.34.4
16.420.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4835
#25
14.54.5
18.313.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.9
4995
#33
0.64.4
2.77.1
Auto
Teleop
End