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Red70
85733.5
49950.6
437628.6
Blue59
439210.6
524718.8
521320.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684501001502002503007059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#13
33.50.5
30.931.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.3
20.20.9
19.520.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4376
#21
28.60.5
26.326.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
5247
#23
18.80.8
23.924.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4995
#33
0.60.5
7.17.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
4392
#31
10.60.8
5.36.2
Auto
Teleop
End