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Red28
523016.6
361715.0
524718.8
Blue45
498813.8
521320.2
51753.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71320501001502002502845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5247
#23
18.82.9
24.821.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
20.20.5
20.420.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5230
#11
16.62.9
18.816.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
4988
#10
13.80.5
19.520.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3617
#34
15.02.9
21.218.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
5175
#29
3.20.5
-1.6-1.1
Auto
Teleop
End