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Red32
531420.2
521320.2
361715.0
Blue43
471524.3
439144.4
498813.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions569101502003243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.22.1
20.918.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.1
44.43.0
39.036.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5314
#28
20.22.1
22.420.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
4715
#18
24.33.0
26.123.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3617
#34
15.02.1
18.416.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
4988
#10
13.83.0
20.117.0
Auto
Teleop
End