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Red79
483514.5
159629.5
482730.4
Blue36
437628.6
518319.5
258623.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7274204060801001201407936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4827
#22
30.40.3
32.733.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
4376
#21
28.62.2
26.023.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1596
#15
29.50.3
26.727.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
2586
#30
23.32.2
27.325.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4835
#25
14.50.3
14.815.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
5183
#20
19.52.2
18.416.2
Auto
Teleop
End