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Red96
159629.5
524718.8
360234.0
Blue113
518319.5
497030.0
361715.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8448010015020096113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3602
#17
34.01.0
31.732.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
4970
#19
30.03.3
26.329.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1596
#15
29.51.0
27.027.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
5183
#20
19.53.3
16.219.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5247
#23
18.81.0
19.720.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
3617
#34
15.03.3
11.314.6
Auto
Teleop
End