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Red96
365844.0
456821.2
432536.0
Blue117
437719.4
85844.2
102535.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108985015020096117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.2
45.745.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
858
#10
44.20.3
44.344.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4325
#13
36.00.2
38.037.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1025
#16
35.60.3
35.836.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4568
#15
21.20.2
23.022.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
19.40.3
19.519.8
Auto
Teleop
End