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Red11
432728.0
520512.9
152819.3
Blue32
261133.8
400417.2
439514.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425701001502002503001132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4327
#25
28.02.8
13.710.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
2611
#14
33.81.9
24.622.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1528
#36
19.32.8
19.716.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
4004
#26
17.21.9
18.917.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5205
#35
12.92.8
11.08.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
4395
#20
14.21.9
11.29.3
Auto
Teleop
End