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Red65
102535.6
44825.3
439514.2
Blue12
448334.7
167713.1
437719.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464102060801001201406512

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1025
#16
35.61.6
21.122.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
4483
#22
34.72.5
9.97.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4395
#20
14.21.6
9.310.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
19.42.5
17.314.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4482
#39
5.31.6
14.816.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
1677
#31
13.12.5
14.211.8
Auto
Teleop
End