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Red85
495616.4
365844.0
83037.0
Blue6
436816.7
261133.8
524834.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64480100150200856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.01.9
20.021.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
5248
#18
34.03.7
11.07.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
830
#12
37.01.9
23.125.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
2611
#14
33.83.7
22.719.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4956
#21
16.41.9
18.720.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
4368
#40
16.73.7
16.913.2
Auto
Teleop
End