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Red206
448334.7
85844.2
261133.8
Blue81
515218.5
436816.7
323443.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6453010015020020681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#10
44.212.0
32.544.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3234
#11
43.62.2
30.532.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4483
#22
34.712.0
14.526.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.3
5152
#29
18.52.2
9.111.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2611
#14
33.812.0
15.227.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.1
4368
#40
16.72.2
15.117.3
Auto
Teleop
End