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Red101
525629.7
515218.5
261133.8
Blue34
456821.2
277143.0
400417.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5377010020030040010134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2611
#14
33.83.7
27.230.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.2
2771
#23
43.03.2
32.829.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5256
#17
29.73.7
18.622.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
4568
#15
21.23.2
27.824.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5152
#29
18.53.7
11.315.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
4004
#26
17.23.2
12.49.2
Auto
Teleop
End