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Red82
448334.7
515218.5
520512.9
Blue125
519415.6
83037.0
191864.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38111015020025082125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4483
#22
34.72.7
24.327.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 30.0
64.72.1
47.849.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5152
#29
18.52.7
15.017.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.5
830
#12
37.02.1
30.832.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5205
#35
12.92.7
10.112.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
5194
#33
15.62.1
21.323.4
Auto
Teleop
End