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Red1
456821.2
167713.1
436816.7
Blue171
345247.8
7459.3
400417.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5910602003004001171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4568
#15
21.25.1
25.720.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 38.1
74
#1
59.35.6
57.963.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4368
#40
16.75.1
25.120.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 31.1
47.85.6
32.337.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1677
#31
13.15.1
15.310.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
4004
#26
17.25.6
8.514.1
Auto
Teleop
End