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Red107
400417.2
276741.1
83037.0
Blue13
520410.1
519415.6
522724.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9950015020010713

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#19
41.10.9
39.940.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.7
5227
#38
24.42.5
26.924.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
830
#12
37.01.0
35.736.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.4
5194
#33
15.62.5
18.115.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4004
#26
17.20.9
15.816.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
5204
#30
10.12.5
12.510.1
Auto
Teleop
End