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Red110
22633.9
118945.1
207551.3
Blue130
54856.2
91043.9
496121.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91100050150200250110130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2075
#10
51.31.5
33.935.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
548
#3
56.22.6
42.945.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1189
#14
45.10.9
36.337.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
910
#23
43.91.6
37.639.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
226
#25
33.91.5
21.823.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
4961
#20
21.52.6
17.920.5
Auto
Teleop
End