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Red80
21614.5
522210.5
368854.4
Blue97
370724.7
421625.9
436251.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions509301502008097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3688
#18
54.41.9
28.630.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
51.00.9
33.033.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
216
#39
14.51.2
15.816.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
25.90.5
23.824.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5222
#37
10.51.9
12.314.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.2
3707
#27
24.70.9
29.730.6
Auto
Teleop
End