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Red113
477616.6
522011.7
91043.9
Blue146
207551.3
30843.4
354835.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions571150100150200250113146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#23
43.92.3
39.241.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
2075
#10
51.33.4
35.438.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4776
#31
16.62.3
17.319.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.8
308
#16
43.43.4
32.435.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5220
#26
11.73.9
9.813.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.8
3548
#13
35.52.0
37.739.8
Auto
Teleop
End