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Red21
366822.0
522210.5
354835.5
Blue17
484012.4
360315.1
118824.4
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97370501502002117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3548
#13
35.53.3
39.836.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
1188
#36
24.41.5
12.711.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3668
#17
22.05.5
33.628.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
3603
#34
15.12.4
14.011.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5222
#37
10.55.5
14.28.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
4840
#32
12.41.5
19.618.1
Auto
Teleop
End