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Red141
2783.1
366822.0
522011.7
Blue18
477616.6
523120.6
261139.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1077205015020025014118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#5
83.12.0
63.565.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 43.6
2611
#22
39.43.0
37.634.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3668
#17
22.03.3
28.031.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
5231
#28
20.65.0
23.418.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5220
#26
11.73.3
9.713.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
4776
#31
16.63.0
16.513.5
Auto
Teleop
End