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Red76
360315.1
2783.1
2887.4
Blue86
353618.8
496121.5
368854.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8586501001507686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#5
83.10.6
65.565.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.6
3688
#18
54.40.2
49.950.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3603
#34
15.10.9
10.49.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
4961
#20
21.50.2
21.321.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
288
#40
7.40.6
11.110.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.5
3536
#35
18.80.2
12.012.2
Auto
Teleop
End