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Red53
332240.8
30843.4
496121.5
Blue181
91043.9
46968.5
357018.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10011705015020053181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
308
#16
43.43.3
37.334.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.1
469
#2
68.54.4
60.464.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3322
#12
40.83.3
39.436.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
910
#23
43.93.3
39.342.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4961
#20
21.53.3
25.722.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
3570
#33
18.54.4
15.019.4
Auto
Teleop
End