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Red172
31444.7
508122.5
233766.3
Blue153
353535.4
353433.9
508424.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14184050100200250172153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.30.7
65.866.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.9
35.41.0
35.136.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
314
#2
44.70.7
44.344.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
3534
#16
33.91.1
33.634.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5081
#30
22.50.7
22.022.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
5084
#20
24.61.0
24.325.3
Auto
Teleop
End