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Quarterfinal 3-22014 Kettering University FIRST Robotics District Competition
Red79
261950.2
519332.1
70324.3
Blue87
124341.2
516732.7
511439.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11411260801001401601802007987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
#12
50.20.5
51.7→51.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.1
1243
#11
41.20.5
41.8→41.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
5193
#3
32.10.5
33.5→33.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.3
5114
#18
39.30.5
40.0→39.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
703
#21
24.30.5
25.8→25.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.4
5167
#14
32.70.5
33.3→32.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—