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Red55
499418.6
499811.9
508122.5
Blue23
519332.1
31319.6
51669.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373602060801005523

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5081
#30
22.51.6
14.316.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
32.11.2
12.010.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4994
#32
18.61.6
9.411.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
313
#37
19.61.2
11.410.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4998
#36
11.91.6
11.413.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
5166
#38
9.01.2
14.313.1
Auto
Teleop
End