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Red100
499418.6
7072.6
26047.8
Blue128
515027.4
124341.2
508122.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74560100150200100128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#9
72.62.4
44.446.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.5
1243
#11
41.25.8
26.131.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4994
#32
18.62.4
11.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
5150
#13
27.45.8
16.522.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2604
#40
7.82.4
15.417.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.7
5081
#30
22.55.8
16.021.8
Auto
Teleop
End