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Red111
519332.1
124341.2
168437.9
Blue80
511439.3
31319.6
356817.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions922405015020025011180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1243
#11
41.22.5
31.934.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
5114
#18
39.33.8
10.514.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1684
#22
37.92.5
33.836.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.3
313
#37
19.63.8
12.015.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
32.12.5
15.618.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.6
3568
#31
17.43.8
12.416.2
Auto
Teleop
End